Llanelli Town AFC vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
71.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli Town AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
LLA
4 - 0
CAE
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 2
LLA
13%
18%
69%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
LLA
9 - 0
ABB
86%
9%
5%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
LLA
4 - 0
LLA
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
TAF
1 - 1
LLA
13%
18%
69%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 4
PEN
39%
26%
36%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
ABE
75%
16%
8%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
HAV
3 - 2
PEN
25%
27%
48%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CWM
0 - 3
PEN
8%
15%
77%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 4
TNS
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |