Llanelli Town AFC vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
72.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli Town AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
LLA
1 - 2
LLA
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
LLA
1 - 0
LLA
57%
20%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
LLA
0 - 2
SUF
24%
23%
54%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
AAF
2 - 5
LLA
42%
21%
38%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LLA
2 - 2
TAF
69%
17%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 0
NEW
43%
24%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
FOR
4 - 3
NEW
28%
24%
48%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
FOR
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 1
NEW
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHE
33%
30%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |