Llanelli Town AFC vs Baglan Dragons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli Town AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
AAF
0 - 2
LLA
19%
22%
60%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 1
CAM
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
HAV
0 - 2
LLA
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
LLA
21%
23%
56%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
LLA
7 - 1
GOY
82%
12%
6%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Baglan Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
BDG
1 - 2
TRE
37%
24%
39%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BDG
0 - 0
LLA
38%
25%
38%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 1
BDG
52%
23%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BDG
2 - 2
NWC
70%
17%
14%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 1
BDG
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |