Llanelli Town AFC vs Abergavenny Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli Town AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 2
LLA
18%
20%
61%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ABB
1 - 1
LLA
10%
16%
75%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
LLA
3 - 2
LID
67%
18%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 2
AAF
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
LLA
22%
21%
57%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Abergavenny Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 3
BRI
9%
16%
75%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 0
ABE
74%
15%
12%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 1
GOY
17%
19%
65%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
PON
1 - 0
ABE
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 1
ABB
54%
21%
26%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |