Llanelli Town AFC vs Abergavenny Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
15.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
5º
3º
32
7º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli Town AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SUF
0 - 2
LLA
33%
21%
47%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LLA
4 - 0
GOY
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
LLA
2 - 0
GOY
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
LLA
1 - 0
YAF
64%
18%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 1
LLA
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Abergavenny Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LLA
2 - 1
ABE
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 1
TRE
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 5 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
AAF
2 - 1
ABE
51%
20%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
5 - 2
ABE
84%
12%
4%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
YAF
0 - 1
ABE
43%
22%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |