Llanelli AFC vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LID
1 - 3
LLA
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LLA
4 - 3
ABE
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BAL
4 - 0
LLA
42%
25%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 1
CON
70%
17%
12%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 2
LLA
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 0
CON
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
NEW
0 - 0
ABE
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 2
LLA
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
BAL
3 - 1
NEW
53%
22%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 1
AIR
34%
23%
43%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |