Llanelli AFC vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
5.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
LLA
2 - 1
TNS
56%
23%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 0
LLA
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
LLA
0 - 3
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -3 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
AIR
1 - 2
LLA
21%
24%
55%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
FKT
3 - 2
LLA
47%
24%
28%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
NEW
1 - 1
BAL
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
NEW
1 - 0
AIR
36%
24%
40%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
NEA
5 - 0
NEW
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
AIR
4 - 2
NEW
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
NEW
1 - 0
PRE
51%
23%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |