Llanelli AFC vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
LLA
3 - 1
BAL
87%
10%
4%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
LLA
2 - 0
BAN
45%
23%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 3
LLA
25%
25%
51%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LLA
1 - 0
ABE
71%
17%
13%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
LLA
3 - 1
ABE
68%
18%
14%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
BAN
6 - 0
HAV
84%
12%
5%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
ABE
0 - 2
HAV
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
HAV
3 - 2
CAR
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
AIR
4 - 0
HAV
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
HAV
0 - 1
BAL
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |