Llanelli AFC vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.3%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.1%
2.5%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
TNS
4 - 2
LLA
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LLA
1 - 1
AIR
85%
11%
4%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
LID
0 - 0
LLA
8%
19%
73%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LLA
2 - 1
BAN
58%
21%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
LLA
2 - 0
ABE
86%
10%
4%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
PRE
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAL
36%
26%
39%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
4 - 2
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
TNS
4 - 0
CAR
87%
9%
3%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |