Llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
AIR
1 - 1
LLA
27%
24%
49%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
HAV
3 - 5
LLA
12%
19%
69%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LLA
1 - 4
BAL
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 2
LLA
17%
23%
60%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LLA
0 - 3
NEW
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
ABE
4 - 2
LID
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
NEW
4 - 5
LID
55%
21%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LID
2 - 3
NEW
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CON
6 - 4
LID
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BAN
4 - 1
LID
83%
12%
6%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |