Llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
LID
0 - 1
LLA
19%
23%
58%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
LLA
2 - 2
BAN
39%
23%
38%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
LLA
4 - 2
CAR
68%
18%
14%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
LLA
30%
25%
45%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
LLA
2 - 4
AIR
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
AIR
3 - 1
LID
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
LID
0 - 1
LLA
19%
23%
58%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
POR
6 - 1
LID
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
LID
0 - 3
POR
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
LID
0 - 0
ABE
38%
25%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |