LKS Lódz vs Polonia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
13º
9º
27
8º
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 72 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 68 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 63 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 60 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 50 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 48 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 40 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 38 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 34 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 33 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 29 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 24 |
17º
|
36.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 97% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LKS Lódz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
LKS
0 - 1
RCH
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
KLU
0 - 1
LKS
15%
19%
66%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
STA
2 - 4
LKS
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LKS
0 - 0
STA
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
GKS
0 - 3
LKS
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
POL
1 - 0
STA
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
WIG
2 - 3
POL
20%
21%
59%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
POL
35%
26%
38%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
POL
2 - 1
GKS
45%
25%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
POL
4 - 1
WPI
78%
14%
8%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |