Ljungskile vs Lunds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
49.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
9º
16º
15º
49
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 65 |
1º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 60 |
2º
|
83% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 44 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 43 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 40 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 40 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 38 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 38 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 37 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 34 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 34 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
23 | 31 |
15º
|
46.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 21 |
16º
|
98% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 16.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 83% |
|
Mid-table
|
14.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
74% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ljungskile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
OSK
2 - 1
LJU
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LJU
1 - 1
GRE
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
KAR
3 - 0
LJU
57%
21%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
LJU
1 - 0
AIF
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
IKO
3 - 0
LJU
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lunds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
LBK
1 - 0
ROS
65%
20%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LBK
4 - 1
HOG
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 11 | 43 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 0
LBK
59%
21%
20%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
LBK
2 - 0
IFK
77%
15%
9%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
LBK
6 - 0
SIM
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |