Ljungskile vs Jönköpings Södra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
53.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
9º
16º
15º
33
4º
15º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 65 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 60 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 47 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 46 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 44 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 42 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 40 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 38 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 37 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 36 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 35 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 34 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
23 | 31 |
15º
|
48.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 21 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
22% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
70.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ljungskile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
ROS
2 - 1
LJU
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
LJU
1 - 5
TRO
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 0
LJU
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LJU
3 - 0
ESK
27%
26%
47%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LJU
0 - 0
TOR
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Jönköpings Södra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2024 |
JON
1 - 2
TVA
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
TOR
4 - 2
JON
23%
24%
53%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
JON
0 - 1
TIK
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
JON
1 - 3
ROS
68%
20%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ESK
1 - 3
JON
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |