Livyi Bereh vs Chornomorets Odessa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
10º
16º
14º
6
10º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
12 | 60 |
1º
|
37.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 59 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 55 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 51 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 50 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 49 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 46 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 45 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 40 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 33 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
|
11º
|
6 | 32 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 31 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 29 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 27 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 23 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
40% | 52% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
31% | 31.5% |
|
Relegation
|
29% | 16.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livyi Bereh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 1
SHA
16%
20%
64%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
FKK
3 - 2
LIV
7%
13%
80%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 3
VOR
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LNZ
1 - 0
LIV
60%
22%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
LIV
3 - 0
MIN
52%
22%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chornomorets Odessa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
KPT
3 - 0
CHO
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 0
KOL
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 1
ZOR
23%
24%
53%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HKR
1 - 0
CHO
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 2
PFC
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |