Livorno vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
PAL
4 - 1
LIV
51%
27%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
LIV
2 - 0
PIA
39%
28%
34%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
TOR
1 - 1
LIV
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
LIV
0 - 0
ATL
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
LIV
2 - 2
CAT
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
VIC
3 - 1
SAL
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
TER
1 - 0
VIC
49%
25%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
VIC
1 - 1
TRE
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
VIC
0 - 0
PAL
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
PES
0 - 0
VIC
34%
26%
39%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |