Livorno vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
LIV
3 - 0
TRI
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
USA
4 - 1
LIV
32%
24%
44%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
TOR
3 - 2
LIV
80%
12%
8%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
LIV
1 - 1
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
ACM
2 - 2
LIV
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
VNZ
0 - 2
SAM
44%
22%
34%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
VNZ
1 - 2
BRE
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
ACM
3 - 2
VNZ
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
VNZ
1 - 1
USA
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
BAR
1 - 0
VNZ
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |