Livorno vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
40.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
ATL
4 - 0
LIV
54%
21%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
LIV
2 - 4
BOL
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
LIV
4 - 1
TRI
52%
24%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1941 |
BOL
3 - 1
LIV
76%
14%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
LIV
2 - 0
SAV
77%
14%
9%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
VNZ
0 - 0
INT
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
PIS
0 - 4
VNZ
36%
23%
41%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
VNZ
2 - 1
TOR
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1941 |
VNZ
1 - 0
ROM
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1941 |
ROM
3 - 3
VNZ
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |