Livorno vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
ATL
2 - 1
LIV
52%
22%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1939 |
GEN
0 - 1
LIV
77%
13%
10%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
LIV
2 - 2
INT
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1939 |
NAP
3 - 1
LIV
57%
21%
22%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1939 |
LIV
3 - 1
ROM
32%
24%
44%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
VNZ
1 - 0
INT
38%
24%
38%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
NAP
2 - 0
VNZ
50%
22%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
VNZ
2 - 1
BAR
65%
18%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
VNZ
1 - 1
JUV
40%
24%
36%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
BOL
2 - 0
VNZ
76%
14%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |