Livorno vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
PAD
2 - 0
LIV
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
LIV
0 - 0
PRO
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
LIV
3 - 0
PAR
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
FOR
1 - 0
LIV
54%
21%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
LIV
1 - 1
POT
40%
29%
31%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
TRI
2 - 2
MOD
37%
31%
33%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
TRI
0 - 0
VNZ
43%
30%
28%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
USA
0 - 0
TRI
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
TRI
0 - 1
BAR
42%
30%
28%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
VER
1 - 0
TRI
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |