Livorno vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
USA
4 - 1
LIV
32%
24%
44%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
TOR
3 - 2
LIV
80%
12%
8%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
LIV
1 - 1
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
ACM
2 - 2
LIV
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
BRE
0 - 1
LIV
39%
24%
37%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
TRI
1 - 1
SAM
32%
24%
45%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
BRE
2 - 2
TRI
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
JUV
4 - 0
TRI
84%
10%
6%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
TRI
0 - 0
INT
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
MOD
0 - 1
TRI
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |