Livorno vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
VNZ
2 - 1
LIV
67%
18%
16%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
LIV
3 - 1
ATL
49%
23%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
LIV
0 - 2
ACM
40%
24%
36%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
ROM
4 - 0
LIV
67%
18%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
LIV
0 - 0
GEN
39%
24%
38%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
TRI
0 - 0
INT
35%
26%
40%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
LAZ
5 - 0
TRI
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
ACL
2 - 2
TRI
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
TRI
1 - 3
TOR
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
FIO
2 - 1
TRI
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |