Livorno vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1937 |
FIO
1 - 2
LIV
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1937 |
LIV
0 - 2
ROM
29%
23%
48%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1937 |
GEN
4 - 1
LIV
70%
17%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1937 |
LIV
1 - 1
TOR
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1937 |
LAZ
3 - 0
LIV
70%
17%
13%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1937 |
TRI
0 - 0
ROM
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1937 |
JUV
2 - 0
TRI
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1937 |
TRI
3 - 1
BOL
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1937 |
FIO
2 - 2
TRI
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1937 |
TRI
0 - 0
ACM
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |