Livorno vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1930 |
LIV
1 - 1
USC
57%
20%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
ROM
2 - 0
LIV
77%
13%
10%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
LIV
2 - 0
TRI
54%
21%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
BOL
6 - 1
LIV
78%
13%
9%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
LIV
2 - 1
PRO
55%
21%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1930 |
LEO
0 - 2
TOR
40%
22%
38%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
LEO
4 - 0
NAP
36%
21%
42%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
PAD
5 - 0
LEO
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
USA
0 - 2
LEO
55%
20%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
LEO
3 - 2
USC
64%
18%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |