Livorno vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
REG
3 - 2
LIV
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
LIV
1 - 2
MON
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
LIV
1 - 1
MOD
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1999 |
BRE
0 - 0
LIV
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
COM
0 - 0
LIV
36%
26%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
USC
1 - 1
CTT
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
ASL
2 - 0
USC
59%
24%
18%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
USC
1 - 1
PIS
30%
29%
41%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
USC
2 - 2
SAN
66%
20%
15%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
LEC
0 - 0
USC
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |