Livorno vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
40.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
PER
1 - 0
LIV
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LIV
0 - 1
REN
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 1
LIV
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
LIV
3 - 3
OLB
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
JS2
6 - 0
LIV
61%
22%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PON
0 - 0
USA
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
GRO
1 - 1
USA
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
USA
0 - 0
GER
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 1
USA
36%
28%
35%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |