Livorno vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
19.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
FCC
1 - 0
LIV
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 0
MAN
44%
29%
27%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
LIV
0 - 0
REG
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
VNZ
0 - 0
LIV
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 1
GEN
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
USA
1 - 0
FOR
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
USA
1 - 0
POT
39%
30%
31%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
MOD
4 - 0
USA
55%
26%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
USA
0 - 0
MAN
37%
31%
32%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
REG
4 - 1
USA
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |