Livorno vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1931 |
LIV
3 - 2
TRI
47%
23%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1931 |
CAS
3 - 2
LIV
40%
24%
35%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1931 |
LIV
1 - 0
PRO
48%
23%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1931 |
INT
1 - 1
LIV
83%
11%
7%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1931 |
ROM
7 - 1
LIV
88%
8%
4%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1931 |
PRO
0 - 1
USA
47%
23%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1931 |
USA
4 - 3
NAP
24%
20%
56%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1931 |
CAS
0 - 0
USA
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1931 |
USA
1 - 3
LAZ
45%
21%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1931 |
USA
4 - 1
TRI
56%
21%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |