Livorno vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
LEO
4 - 1
LIV
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
USC
1 - 2
LIV
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
LIV
1 - 0
ROM
19%
20%
61%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
TRI
3 - 0
LIV
56%
20%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1929 |
LIV
0 - 2
BOL
17%
18%
64%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
USA
4 - 1
TRI
53%
21%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
BOL
1 - 2
USA
73%
16%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
ACM
0 - 1
USA
80%
12%
8%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
USA
1 - 2
INT
35%
25%
41%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1929 |
LEO
2 - 2
USA
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |