Livorno vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.6%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
LIV
1 - 0
REG
37%
33%
30%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
COM
1 - 0
LIV
55%
27%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
LIV
0 - 0
ASS
39%
30%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
PIS
1 - 0
LIV
60%
26%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
LIV
1 - 1
FCC
48%
30%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
TER
0 - 1
FCC
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
REG
2 - 1
TER
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
TER
2 - 0
PRG
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
ARZ
0 - 0
TER
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
TER
3 - 1
COM
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |