Livorno vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.2%
+2
12.3%
1-0
18.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
26.1%
32.8%
Draw
0-0
17.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
32.8%
23.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
PRG
0 - 0
LIV
53%
28%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
LIV
0 - 0
PAL
38%
33%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
NOV
1 - 1
LIV
49%
30%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
LIV
0 - 0
ATL
29%
33%
37%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
CES
1 - 1
LIV
51%
29%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
TAR
0 - 0
ASS
40%
31%
29%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
MAN
0 - 2
TAR
66%
23%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
TAR
1 - 1
FCC
41%
32%
26%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 0
TAR
56%
27%
17%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
TAR
1 - 1
TER
38%
31%
31%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |