Livorno vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
VER
5 - 1
LIV
58%
21%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
LIV
3 - 0
EMP
57%
21%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
LIV
0 - 1
UDI
34%
23%
43%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
MOD
2 - 0
LIV
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
BRE
0 - 1
LIV
58%
21%
21%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
TAR
3 - 0
USC
45%
23%
32%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
PRO
2 - 3
TAR
44%
21%
34%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
PIS
3 - 1
TAR
76%
14%
10%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
TAR
2 - 1
VER
38%
23%
38%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
TAR
3 - 4
NAP
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |