Livorno vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
41.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
BAR
3 - 1
LIV
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
LIV
2 - 0
SER
73%
16%
11%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
BRE
1 - 1
LIV
51%
23%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
LIV
5 - 1
SIR
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
LIV
2 - 0
SAL
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1951 |
SPA
4 - 0
CAT
74%
15%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
SPA
2 - 0
SIR
72%
16%
12%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
VNZ
0 - 1
SPA
33%
23%
45%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
BAR
0 - 0
SPA
26%
23%
51%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
SPA
0 - 0
MOD
66%
18%
16%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |