Livorno vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
ACM
1 - 0
LIV
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
LIV
3 - 2
BRE
49%
24%
26%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
REG
1 - 1
LIV
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
LIV
2 - 2
VER
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
ROM
3 - 0
LIV
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
ASS
3 - 0
SIR
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
SIR
0 - 3
ACM
63%
19%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
SIR
0 - 0
ROM
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
TRE
1 - 1
SIR
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
VER
3 - 0
SIR
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |