Livorno vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
LIV
2 - 0
SAL
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
UNI
3 - 1
LIV
66%
18%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
LIV
3 - 1
TRE
55%
22%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
USC
0 - 1
LIV
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
LIV
2 - 1
ANC
67%
18%
14%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
REG
1 - 0
SIR
62%
20%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
SIR
2 - 0
CAT
68%
17%
15%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
SIR
2 - 0
UNI
46%
23%
32%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
SPE
1 - 0
SIR
62%
20%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
VNZ
1 - 0
SIR
58%
21%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |