Livorno vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
LIV
1 - 0
EMP
52%
23%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
EMP
1 - 1
LIV
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
LIV
1 - 1
BRE
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
LIV
42%
26%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
SAS
1 - 0
LIV
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
SIE
4 - 1
PIS
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
SIE
1 - 2
ACM
16%
23%
61%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
NAP
2 - 1
SIE
73%
17%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
SIE
0 - 1
FIO
31%
28%
41%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CAT
3 - 0
SIE
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |