Livorno vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
12.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
LAZ
0 - 2
LIV
61%
19%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1943 |
LIV
4 - 2
INT
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
LIV
3 - 1
ACM
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1943 |
VIC
1 - 3
LIV
41%
22%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1943 |
LIV
4 - 1
FIO
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
SIE
2 - 2
SAL
67%
17%
16%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1942 |
VNZ
2 - 1
SIE
71%
16%
13%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
SIE
1 - 2
PIS
68%
17%
15%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
BOL
6 - 3
SIE
77%
14%
10%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1941 |
SIE
0 - 0
BOL
39%
24%
37%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |