Livorno vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
10.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
NAP
1 - 0
LIV
35%
24%
41%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
PAL
1 - 0
LIV
27%
24%
49%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1945 |
LIV
1 - 1
ROM
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
LIV
0 - 0
SIE
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
LAZ
0 - 2
LIV
61%
19%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
SAL
1 - 0
ANC
71%
16%
13%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
SAL
2 - 3
BAR
47%
22%
31%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1945 |
SAL
1 - 0
FIO
34%
23%
44%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
PES
5 - 1
SAL
59%
20%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
SAL
2 - 0
LAZ
24%
21%
56%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |