Livorno vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1942 |
GEN
3 - 1
LIV
71%
16%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
LIV
1 - 2
JUV
34%
24%
42%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
BOL
7 - 1
LIV
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
LIV
2 - 0
NAP
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
MOD
3 - 0
LIV
46%
23%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1942 |
ROM
6 - 0
INT
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ROM
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
ROM
7 - 0
ACL
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
TOR
2 - 2
ROM
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
ROM
0 - 0
TRI
66%
20%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |