Livorno vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
TRI
1 - 1
LIV
53%
22%
25%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
BOL
3 - 0
LIV
73%
16%
11%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
LIV
1 - 1
INT
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
NOV
0 - 0
LIV
50%
23%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
LIV
1 - 1
NAP
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
ROM
3 - 0
INT
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
NOV
1 - 1
ROM
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
ROM
2 - 2
NAP
66%
20%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
GEN
0 - 0
ROM
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
ROM
3 - 0
JUV
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |