Livorno vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
43.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
MOD
3 - 2
LIV
54%
22%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
LIV
1 - 0
ASL
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1939 |
LIV
0 - 1
INT
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
TRI
2 - 0
LIV
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
LIV
1 - 0
JUV
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
ROM
2 - 0
BAR
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
GEN
2 - 0
ROM
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1939 |
ROM
2 - 1
TRI
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
ROM
2 - 3
INT
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
NAP
1 - 0
ROM
43%
25%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |