Livorno vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
61.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
TRI
3 - 0
LIV
56%
20%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1929 |
LIV
0 - 2
BOL
17%
18%
64%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1929 |
PRO
5 - 0
LIV
45%
23%
32%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 1929 |
LIV
4 - 1
ACM
19%
19%
62%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 1929 |
PAD
3 - 1
LIV
48%
22%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
ROM
2 - 0
GEN
59%
21%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1929 |
LAZ
0 - 1
ROM
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1929 |
ROM
2 - 0
INT
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1929 |
LEO
2 - 0
ROM
29%
21%
50%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1929 |
ROM
2 - 2
NAP
60%
20%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |