Livorno vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
LIV
1 - 1
PAR
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
LAZ
2 - 0
LIV
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
LIV
1 - 0
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
FIO
1 - 0
LIV
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
LIV
1 - 2
NAP
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
REG
4 - 0
SIE
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
INT
2 - 0
REG
81%
14%
6%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
REG
0 - 0
PAL
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
LAZ
1 - 0
REG
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
REG
2 - 1
JUV
18%
23%
58%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |