Livorno vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
31%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
39.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
PIA
1 - 1
LIV
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
LIV
0 - 0
MAN
37%
33%
30%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
TAR
1 - 0
LIV
47%
30%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
LIV
1 - 1
TER
40%
29%
32%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
LIV
1 - 0
REG
37%
33%
30%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
COM
2 - 2
REG
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
REG
1 - 0
VAR
40%
31%
29%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
REG
1 - 1
USF
45%
29%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
REG
0 - 0
REG
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
REG
1 - 0
MOD
60%
26%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |