Livorno vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
LIV
2 - 1
PAL
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
PIS
1 - 0
LIV
44%
30%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
LIV
2 - 1
ARZ
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
GEN
1 - 0
LIV
61%
24%
16%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
LIV
1 - 0
PAD
46%
29%
25%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
REG
1 - 0
REG
43%
27%
31%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
REG
2 - 1
SAV
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
REG
2 - 1
MES
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
NOV
3 - 2
REG
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
POT
0 - 0
REG
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |