Livorno vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 1
LIV
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1966 |
POT
0 - 1
LIV
63%
22%
16%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 1
VER
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
LIV
0 - 0
PIS
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
PRO
0 - 0
LIV
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
REG
3 - 0
NOV
64%
21%
14%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1966 |
REG
0 - 1
MOD
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
PAL
1 - 2
REG
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
REG
1 - 0
ASS
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
REG
0 - 0
VER
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |