Livorno vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
19.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
ASS
2 - 2
LIV
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
LIV
5 - 2
PAD
44%
30%
26%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
LIV
0 - 0
NOV
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1965 |
LIV
1 - 2
VAR
42%
24%
35%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
USA
1 - 0
LIV
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
PRO
1 - 0
VNZ
48%
29%
24%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
ASS
1 - 1
PRO
61%
23%
17%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
PRO
2 - 1
REG
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
PRO
0 - 0
FOR
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
POT
0 - 0
PRO
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |