Livorno vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
ACM
2 - 2
LIV
77%
13%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
LIV
4 - 3
PAD
54%
21%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
LIV
3 - 0
NAP
22%
19%
59%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
MOD
6 - 0
LIV
46%
23%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
LIV
1 - 0
TOR
23%
21%
56%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
PRO
2 - 1
BOL
17%
19%
64%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
PRO
2 - 0
BRE
40%
24%
35%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
PAD
7 - 0
PRO
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
PRO
0 - 1
JUV
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1930 |
PRO
1 - 0
LEO
46%
23%
31%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |