Livorno vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PIS
1 - 1
LIV
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
LIV
0 - 1
USA
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
ASL
1 - 1
LIV
21%
25%
54%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
LIV
2 - 0
ACP
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
GAV
2 - 4
LIV
21%
25%
55%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
PON
2 - 1
PAD
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PON
1 - 0
OLB
54%
24%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
PON
0 - 2
ARZ
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
GER
3 - 1
PON
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
PON
3 - 2
ACP
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |