Livorno vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
USC
2 - 3
LIV
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
LIV
2 - 2
PIA
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
TUT
0 - 1
LIV
17%
24%
59%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 1
PON
73%
17%
9%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LIV
3 - 1
PIA
71%
19%
11%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
PIS
3 - 1
RCR
69%
19%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
OLB
1 - 3
PIS
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
PIS
0 - 0
REN
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ASL
2 - 0
PIS
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PIS
2 - 0
VIT
49%
25%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |